The IPO market in India is buzzing. In 2024, companies raised a jaw-dropping ₹1.3 lakh crore through public offerings, beating even the U.S. and Europe. But here’s the catch: not all that glitters is gold. While IPOs promise exciting returns, many retail investors lost money in 2024 by falling into common traps.
If you’re planning to invest in 2025 IPOs, this guide will help you sidestep mistakes and make smarter choices. Let’s dive in!
Why 2025’s IPO Market Needs a Cautious Approach
Lessons from 2024
2024 was a record year for IPOs in India. Out of 92 IPOs, 72 saw massive subscriptions worth over ₹10,000 crore each. But the thrill faded quickly for many. For instance, SME IPOs faced scrutiny over promoters’ shady backgrounds, and companies with weak fundamentals crashed post-listing.
As Egor Derevianko, CEO of SmartMinder, puts it:
“IPOs are like blind dates. You get limited information upfront, and the real story unfolds later.”
What’s New in 2025?
2025 is expected to focus on sectors like AI, green energy, and fintech. But watch out for risks like:
- Overpriced valuations due to market hype.
- Promoters cashing out early (a red flag!).
- Global economic shifts impacting stock prices.
7 Common IPO Investing Mistakes (and How to Avoid Them)
Mistake #1: Getting Swept Up in the Hype
What Happens:
Promoters often use flashy slogans like “India’s next unicorn!” or “Double your money!” to attract investors. In 2024, a hyped-up AI startup IPO crashed by 50% within months due to zero revenue.
Smart Move:
- Ask Questions: What does the company actually do? Is its revenue model realistic?
- Read the DRHP: The Draft Red Herring Prospectus (DRHP) reveals growth plans and risks.
Mistake #2: Skipping Your Homework
What Happens:
Relying on friends, social media, or brokers for IPO tips can backfire. A 2024 food delivery IPO hid its ₹200 crore debt, causing shares to plunge 30% post-listing.
Smart Move:
- Check Financials: Look for 3+ years of profit growth and manageable debt.
- Google the Promoters: Have they been involved in fraud or failed businesses before?
Mistake #3: Ignoring Valuation Red Flags
What Happens:
Paying ₹500 for a stock that’s actually worth ₹200? Ouch! In 2024, an EV battery company’s IPO was priced at 60x earnings (industry average: 25x). It crashed 40% in 6 months.
Smart Move:
- Compare Metrics: Use Price-to-Earnings (P/E) and Price-to-Book (P/B) ratios.
- Avoid “Too Good” Prices: If it’s pricier than giants like TCS or Reliance, think twice.
Mistake #4: Trusting Promoters Blindly
What Happens:
If promoters sell 30%+ of their shares during the IPO, they might lack confidence in the company’s future. A textile IPO in 2024 saw promoters exit early; the stock nosedived 60%.
Smart Move:
- Track Promoter Holdings: Use SEBI’s disclosure portal to check their stake changes.
Mistake #5: Obsessing Over Listing Gains
What Happens:
Only 55% of 2024 IPOs gave Day 1 profits. A healthtech IPO surged 120% on listing but fell 70% later due to poor sales.
Smart Move:
- Set Realistic Goals: Sell 50% of shares if you score 20%+ listing gains.
- Hold Long-Term Only if the company has strong fundamentals.
Mistake #6: Ignoring Sector Risks
What Happens:
Cyclical sectors like real estate boom in good times but crash hard. A 2024 real estate IPO dropped 55% when interest rates rose.
Smart Move:
- Diversify: Balance IPO bets between stable sectors (e.g., FMCG) and high-growth ones (e.g., AI).
Mistake #7: Putting All Eggs in One Basket
What Happens:
Investing 30% of your savings in IPOs is risky. A 2024 investor lost ₹5 lakh by betting big on a single fintech IPO that failed.
Smart Move:
- Follow the 10% Rule: Limit IPO investments to 10% of your portfolio.
How to Pick Winning IPOs: A 3-Step Checklist
1: Dig Into the Company’s Health
- Revenue Growth: Look for 15%+ yearly growth.
- Cash Flow: Positive cash flow = fewer debt risks.
2: Vet the Management
- Promoter History: No scams or bankruptcies? Good sign!
- Transparency: Do they host investor Q&A sessions?
3: Gauge Market Mood
- Gray Market Premiums: High premiums often mean short-term hype.
Final Thoughts: Stay Patient, Stay Safe
The 2025 IPO market will have gems, but patience and research are key. As Trivesh D, COO of TradeJini, says:
“Treat IPOs like a 5-year relationship, not a one-night stand.”
Avoid FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), stick to fundamentals, and you’ll navigate 2025’s IPO wave like a pro.
Helpful Resources for IPO Investors
Capitalmind Blog – Expert insights on IPOs.
https://capitalmind.in
SEBI’s Investor Portal – For IPO disclosures and guidelines.
https://www.sebi.gov.in
Screener.in – Analyze company financials for free.
https://www.screener.in
Prime Database – Track IPO performance data.
https://www.primedatabase.com
Moneycontrol IPO Section – Latest news and analysis.
https://www.moneycontrol.com/ipo
Zerodha Varsity – Learn IPO basics and strategies.
https://zerodha.com/varsity
Other blogs: Investing View