Stock Market Outlook 2025: Key Events to Watch in the Coming Week

Stock Market Outlook 2025: Key Events to Watch in the Coming Week

Stock Market Outlook: Key Events to Watch in the Coming Week

Indian stock market also faced severe volatility last week, with both Sensex and Nifty closing in the negative region. Sensex declined by 2.65% to 75,364.69 and Nifty fell by 2.61% to close at 22,904.45.

Multiple factors on a domestic and global level could shift stock market direction for investors towards the end of the week. There are distinct triggers which we will dissect to understand what they mean for the market’s movement.

Key Triggers for the Stock Market This Week

  1. RBI Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Meeting

From April 7 to April 9, the RBI MPC meeting will take place and policy decision will be shared with the public on the last day by RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra. Speculations have suggested RBI might drop the repo rate by 25 basis points, which would be beneficial for market psychology.

  1. Retail Inflation and Industrial Production Data

Data concerning retail inflation (CPI) and industrial production (IIP) is set to be published on April 11. Such statistics will aid investors in evaluating the state of the economy and anticipating future interbank interest rates.

Effects of Reciprocal Tariffs

The IT and metal stock sectors faced severe selling over the past week. IT stocks fell by 9.15%, while metal stocks lost 7.46%. In comparison, the FMCG index managed a small gain of 0.45%.

The foremost catalyst of the decline was the negative cue from the world market with the US President Donald Trump imposing a 27% reciprocal tariff on Indian goods raising the looming trade war concerns.

Global Cues to Monitor

This week also brings in some notable global updates such as:

  • US FOMC Meeting Minutes
  • US CPI (Inflation) Data
  • UK GDP Growth Figures

These will also provide market sentiment direction.

Foreign Investors Turn Sellers Again

In the last week, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) from the spendable stock segment sold more than ₹13,730 crore. Simultaneously, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) managed to offset this by pouring in ₹5,632 crore, hence cushioning the market.

Nifty Support and Resistance Levels

As explained by Master Trust Group Director Puneet Singhania, global trade conflicts and tensions have brought Nifty down to a two week low. The strong and weak support areas to monitor include the following:

  • Strong Support Zones: 22,300 and 22,000
  • Resistance Zone (Barrier Towards Upside Move): 22,800

The above mentioned values will be very important for short term traders and investors in the upcoming market sessions.

Also read : Indian Stock Market Volatility: Causes, Trends & Predictions

Final Thoughts

There are a lot of important economic indicators and policy updates within the week. Focus remains on the news updates around RBI, inflation, global figures, and investments from abroad.

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